Germany's Economic Outlook in 2023

The German economy stands as one of the world’s most robust, driven by key historical and fundamental advantages. Its resilience to external shocks is underscored by a low inflation rate, a stable pricing policy, and a manageable public debt level, attracting investors who seek reliability. 

Germany's commitment to technological advancement contributes significantly to its economic strength. The country has found itself consistently at the forefront of science and technology throughout its long history. Notably, major companies like Siemens, Bosch, and Volkswagen lead their respective industries globally.

Another pillar of the German economy is its social sphere, with a high standard of living, well-established education, and healthcare systems. However, this comes with a flip side — the higher the standard of living, the greater the challenge coming from an aging population. Projections indicate that by 2050, over 25% of the country's population will be over 65 years old, posing additional strains on the social security system. Addressing this issue requires the development of innovative solutions for pension provision, healthcare, and education for the elderly. 

The education level of the working-age population (30 to 55 years) and the overall qualifications of the workforce further bolster the economy. Germany’s ability to attract highly skilled professionals from around the world, supported by competitive and stable salaries, fuels economic development and innovation.

Despite these strengths, Germany's economy grapples with high dependence on exports, which has impact on the currency exchange rate (EURUSD) respectively. This reliance exposes it to the fluctuations of the global economic landscape, emphasizing the need to boost domestic demand and foster innovation to mitigate this vulnerability. Furthermore, the German economy grapples with challenges associated with climate change. While Germany stands as a front-runner in the realm of green energy, the shift toward alternative energy sources demands substantial investments, which progress at a pace slower than ideal.

The condition of the economy and business activity finds expression in the DAX index, which encompasses the 40 most significant and capitalized German companies across various industries.This index serves as a valuable reference for investors and speculators, reflecting the dynamics of shares traded on the Deutsche Börse. 

The ongoing recovery is attributable not only to a rebound from the support of 14700 but also to favorable reports from companies like Puma (FWB:PUMA) and Hermes (XETR:HMI). Additionally, the decrease in government bond yields has stimulated the flow of capital into stocks. With an overarching positive trend, the primary resistance stands at 15500, a level that could be surpassed if the flow of good news continues.